no gradient publishes articles, predictions, and a podcast. The articles focus on issues where there is the biggest disconnect between public perception and reality. Predictions focus on trends shaping our world and serve to track the accuracy of this publication’s world view. The podcast focuses on authentic conversations with people worth talking to.
no gradient makes falsifiable predictions because it forces this publication to take a stand rather than hide behind vagueness or platitudes. Not only do predictions make it easy to track how accurate a worldview is over time. It also gives an extremely potent dose of what the worldview actually is. It is the belief of this publication that public discourse would be far better served if more publications and public figures made falsifiable predictions and then tracked the accuracy of those predictions.
Public discourse is filled with forward looking statements that are seldom checked for accuracy. no gradient tracks will do just this as it has long held that tracking forward looking statements is beneficial for public discourse. This publication holds itself accountable with the predictions scorecard, it will now do the same for others.
no gradient holds itself accountable with the predictions scorecard and holds others accountable with no gradient tracks. To further accountability, no gradient retracks will track its articles that no longer represent the beliefs of this publication or have not stood the test of time. Any article linked below will have counter arguments appended that explain why this publication has decided to retrack it.
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shooting on covid-19 facts including whether it can thrive in warmer weather. Market response including Sequoia Capital's guidance. Reflecting on '08 Financial Crisis and 9/11. What Trump’s trade rep was up to 30 years ago.
shooting from the hip on COVID-19, the markets, and why you should feel good Bernie is out of the race.
shooting from the hip with dick lucas, covering everything in the monthly no gradient newsletter. including what's new in blockchain, technology, finance, the united states, and the world. keep up. presented by shroomshot, a probiotic mushroom shot developed by my homies shawn dunn and former no gradient guest justin dunn.
Before 2030 Betterment, Wealthfront, or M1 Finance will be acquired.
Before 2040 it will be commonplace to use technology that translates conversational speech in real time to allow for communication between individuals who speak different languages.
Before 2040 GitHub will comply with at least one government demand to delist a repository in at least one region.
Before 2030 WhatsApp will allow users to send cross border payments.