Predictions Scoreboard

I like falsifiable predictions because it forces one to take a stand rather than hide behind vagueness or platitudes. Not only does it make it easy to track how accurate your worldview is over time allowing you to learn. But it also gives an extremely potent dose to the reader of what your worldview actually is. I wish more journalists, writers, thinkers- hell everyone- did this. Take a stand people, no gradient.

That’s 3 for 9 thus far shooter, for a batting average of .333.

Correct

By 2025 Coinbase will release public APIs for businesses to accept cryptocurrencies as payment online.

In Android P, the UI to indicate battery saver mode will be replaced with something less garish.

Google will leave the low end Android device market to other manufacturers.

Incorrect

The one year adoption rate for Android Oreo will be 9% (+/- 2.5%).

By 2030 there will be a financial services company offering a fully managed investment solution (e.g. saving for retirement, portfolio diversification) that charges no fees.

Google will release a Pixel device with Google designed silicon in 2019.

Google will release the first Pixel phone in 2017.

The Nexus program will end in 2018.

Periscope is going to be huge. Streaming of protests, sports events, disasters etc. Making tv networks even more redundant.

James Zingarini Trusting the Process

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Selling season tickets for the Philadelphia 76ers at a time when the organization broke the franchise record for sales, James Zingarini cracks open the realness talking post grad disillusionment. The transition from schooling to the “real world” is jarring- let Zingarini tell you why that’s okay.

Houston, no gradient is now a video podcast- check your local YouTube. Shout-out to Aryan Davani  and Emmet Scullivan for pushing video ✊

Watch on YouTube listen on Libsyn, subscribe via iTunesGoogle PlayRSS, or wherever podcasts are available. Support the show on Patreon. Follow on Instagram and Twitter for pictures of the guests and show updates.

Produced by Chris Derr and James Newhouse. Music by Chris Hoogewerff.

Joseph Cote, See America First

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Joseph and his wife made a list of 25 cities they wanted to live in. Shortly after, she died in a plane crash. Joseph kept that list in his pocket. 40 years, 40 apartments, 28 foreign cities, and 12 US cities later, their list is finally complete. He reflects on a life well lived and well traveled, with a calmness and zest that grabs your soul.

Subscribe via iTunesGoogle PlayRSS, or wherever podcasts are available. Stream on Libsyn and YouTube. Support the show on Patreon. Follow on Instagram and Twitter for pictures of the guests and show updates.

Produced by Chris Derr and James Newhouse. Music by Chris Hoogewerff.

no gradient 2.0 Debuts at the World Series of Poker

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Justin Dunn- previous podcast guest– debuts the new no gradient look as he competes in the 49th annual World Series of Poker No-Limit Hold’em Championship in beautiful, hot, transactional, Las Vegas, Nevada. Qualifying by winning a smaller tournament, he has survived day one and starts today with 16.5k in chips. We talked game plan and he is in full predator mode telling me “I need to steal what’s on the table before anyone puts any money in by getting them to fold when I sense weakness.” With a short stack, not being aggressive will simply bleed him dry, it’s all in or fall in.

Logan Faerber is the creative genius and illustrator behind the new look, wrapping it up just in time for the shirt to get shipped out to Justin. He recently started his own design firm, Clade Design, and if you need work done, look no further.

You will see the new look rolling out as the podcast album art and on Twitter, Instagram, YouTube, Patreon, LinkedIn– wherever no gradient is found.

Update: J Dunn went for it and was knocked out on his second day of competition. Best believe no gradient will be sponsoring him next year.

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Mandy Levy, Everything is Fun and Funny

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Mandy Levy– Emmy award winner, host of LA’s Slurring Bee, author of Calorie Accounting, resident of Avocado Street- opens her Los Feliz home to producer James Newhouse and myself for chips and riff. We talk writing, funding your passion, #MeToo, mansplaining, and Brendan Fraser. She also gives us a tidbit on serving Tyra Banks and opens up about being fat- eating an entire pizza a day for a year (no really, well maybe).

Subscribe via iTunesGoogle PlayRSS, or wherever podcasts are available. Stream on Libsyn and YouTube. Support the show on Patreon. Follow on Instagram and Twitter for pictures of the guests and show updates.

Produced by Chris Derr and James Newhouse. Music by Chris Hoogewerff.

Donald Trump will be Reelected

Donald Trump will be reelected, winning the 59th U.S. presidential election in 2020.

Why?

  • Incumbents have an advantage, especially with a good economy coupled with instability abroad- Middle East, Korean Peninsula, and Russian military shenanigans.
  • People are tired of the Special Council investigation lead by Mueller. It will either cause impeachment or have no effect on voters at the polls.
  • #TheResistance is still hung up on Hilary Clinton’s loss, this is not a winning strategy for 2020.
  • The RNC doesn’t wield enough control to replace him as the Republican nominee.
  • The Democratic Party’s primaries will likely produce a candidate that democrats approve of, not one that can beat Trump.
  • Possibility of large domestic terrorist attack before the election which historically increases the approval rating of presidents in office.
  • The media wants to keep him around because he gives them constant fodder.
  • Facts need not apply.

It’s not so much that he will win, it’s that he can’t lose.