Before 2030 Betterment, Wealthfront, or M1 Finance will be acquired.
Before 2040 it will be commonplace to use technology that translates conversational speech in real time to allow for communication between individuals who speak different languages.
Before 2040 GitHub will comply with at least one government demand to delist a repository in at least one region.
Before 2030 WhatsApp will allow users to send cross border payments.
The S&P 500 index will reach 151,528.79 before 2070.
no gradient makes falsifiable predictions because it forces this publication to take a stand rather than hide behind vagueness or platitudes. Not only do predictions make it easy to track how accurate a worldview is over time. It also gives an extremely potent dose of what the worldview actually is. It is the belief of this publication that public discourse would be far better served if more publications and public figures made falsifiable predictions and then tracked the accuracy of those predictions.
Public discourse is filled with forward looking statements that are seldom checked for accuracy. no gradient tracks will do just this as it has long held that tracking forward looking statements is beneficial for public discourse. This publication holds itself accountable with the predictions scorecard, it will now do the same for others.
Before 2030 a financial services company in the United States with >$1 trillion in assets under management will offer consumers a financial instrument giving them broad exposure to the cryptocurrency market.
A compilation of all no gradient predictions which will be resolved before the next decade. Unlike most publications, no gradient actually tracks the accuracy of every prediction it publishes. Check in on the prediction scorecard or subscribe to the newsletter to follow along on the accuracy of these predictions as the decade unfolds. Let the decade begin.
In 2020 the United States will not engage in military conflict on Iranian soil or in Iranian airspace.