no gradient

Prediction

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Before 2040 GitHub will comply with at least one government demand to delist a repository in at least one region. – Twitter Resolved Invalid. At the time of this prediction GitHub had already complied wither several government takedown requests.

Prediction

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Before 2030 WhatsApp will allow users to send cross border payments. – Twitter

Article

welcome to no gradient

no gradient publishes articles, predictions, and a podcast. The articles focus on issues where there is the biggest disconnect between public perception and reality. Predictions focus on trends shaping our world and serve to track the accuracy of this publication’s worldview. The podcast publishes authentic conversations with people worth

Prediction

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The S&P 500 index will reach 151,528.79 before 2070. –Twitter Context • The S&P 500 closed at 92.06 at the end of 1969. At the end of 2019 it closed at 3,230.78. That’s an average growth of 7.38% per year. That’s

Podcast

shooting from the hip #1

shooting from the hip with dick lucas, shooting blockchain, brexit, tesla, big tech, and the democratic primary. keep up. newsletter i’m shooting through, subscribe here. watch on youtube, subscribe on apple podcasts, spotify, or wherever podcasts are available. support the show on patreon, follow on instagram and twitter. executive

Article

no gradient tracks

Public discourse is filled with forward looking statements that are seldom checked for accuracy. no gradient tracks will do just this as it has long held that tracking forward looking statements is beneficial for public discourse. This publication holds itself accountable with the predictions scorecard, it will now do the

Article

no gradient retracks

no gradient holds itself accountable with the predictions scorecard and holds others accountable with no gradient tracks. To further accountability, no gradient retracks will track its articles that no longer represent the beliefs of this publication or have not stood the test of time. Any article linked below will have

Article

no gradient endorses joe biden for the democratic party primary

no gradient endorses Joe Biden for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primary because he is most likely to defeat the incumbent and 45th president of the United States Donald J Trump- who is a bad president. On June 26, 2018 this publication made the prediction that Donald Trump would be

Article

no gradient in 2019

no gradient was established on 2017 September 26. Here’s the publication in 2019. viewership • 3,710 website views • 1,941 website visitors • 1,401 podcast downloads • 103 newsletter subscribers • 44 YouTube subscribers supporters Clark Burnap, Chris Derr, and Matt Buckley supported no gradient in 2019. no gradient costs ~$500

Article

the titan m chip is the most underrated pixel feature

Absent from reviews of the Pixel 4 is any mention of its most underrated feature- the Titan M chip. Introduced in the Pixel 3, the chip boasts security improvements across the board to the bootloader, lock screen, disk, third party apps, and firmware. Google offers a $1 million bounty reward

Prediction

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Before 2030 a financial services company in the United States with >$1 trillion in assets under management will offer consumers a financial instrument giving them broad exposure to the cryptocurrency market. – Twitter

Article

oneplus and the elephant in the room

OnePlus is by all accounts making the most compelling Android phone on the market. It’s well deserved. OnePlus charges far less for a comparable or better experience than the competition. But something that has been completely absent from coverage of OnePlus is security. OnePlus is owned by Oppo, a

Article

41 predictions for the 2020s

A compilation of all no gradient predictions which will be resolved before the next decade. Unlike most publications, no gradient actually tracks the accuracy of every prediction it publishes. Check in on the prediction scorecard or subscribe to the newsletter to follow along on the accuracy of these predictions as

Prediction

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In 2020 the United States will not engage in military conflict on Iranian soil or in Iranian airspace. – Twitter Resolved True. Why? • Iran will make sure not to give the United States sufficient reason to.

Prediction

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There will be no confirmed US casualties in Iran’s attacks on the Al-Asad and Erbil military bases in Iraq. – Twitter, Reddit Why? • These bases were already on high alert and expecting such an attack. Iran is attempting to save face without escalating this into something they can’t control.

Prediction

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Through 2020 Iran will continue to allow the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) regular access to all Iranian nuclear facilities as outlined in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). – Twitter Resolved True. The last report in 2020 is from 17 November 2020. Related • IAEA Iran Reports, IAEA Iran report

Prediction

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Boris Johnson campaigned on making a trade deal with the EU before the end of 2020. The UK will not make a trade deal with the EU before the end of 2020. – Twitter Resolved • False. The EU-UK Trade and Cooperation agreement was signed at the end of 2020. Why • The

Prediction

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Before 2030 Amazon.com, Inc. will offer a courier service similar to UPS and FedEx for consumers to ship their own packages to arbitrary locations. – Twitter Why? • Amazon has a history of exposing internal services to consumers e.g. AWS. • UPS and FedEx alone had a combined net income of

Prediction

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Before 2024 Apple will support Rich Communication Services (RCS) in the Messages app on iOS. – Twitter

Podcast

Motorboating the Pacific Crest Trail

Pacific Crest Trail class of 2019 legends Monk, Ranger, Bumble Bee, and Half Facts riff no holds barred on the 2,650 mile trail from Mexico to Canada. Watch on YouTube, subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever podcasts are available. Support the show on Patreon. Follow on Instagram and

Article

What Dick’s Missed Since He Left

As no gradient interim editors, we would like to apologize for letting down the no gradient community, as well as Dick Lucas himself (aka Richard, aka Lakkis, aka Buzzy), who left us in charge of his legacy while he was away. It’s inexcusable, and we vow to make Dick

Article

Sawyer and Pat have arrived, Dick shall return

For Immediate Release: Los Angeles, California — no gradient today announced that Sawyer Billings will be joining as Managing Editor and Pat Daly as Assistant to the Managing Editor. A fortunate addition given founder Dick Lucas will be on leave until 2020. My plan for no gradient is simple: keep it

Article

Apple will be Called to Account

Before 2030 Apple will be called to account by the United States government for their willingness to cooperate with the Chinese government. – Twitter Readers of no gradient will know that I’ve discussed this in my In 2018 and Facebook’s Feasible Future is Apple’s Fictitious Present posts. I

Article

Coinbase and the Future

Editor’s note: A business plan I wrote for Coinbase in late 2018. Publishing here for posterity. Today Coinbase has positioned itself as the most trusted cryptocurrency exchange with its perfect track record of security and its constant rollout of new products and features. More importantly though, it has established

Article

Facebook’s Feasible Future is Apple’s Fictitious Present

CEO of Facebook Mark Zuckerberg just had his Jerry Maguire moment. In his mid 30s and at the height of his career Zuckerberg has released an about face mission statement for the future of his company. That’s where the metaphor ends though. Unlike Tom Cruise’s character Zuckerberg won’