Category: Prediction

Before 2022 USDC will be in greater circulation than any other stable coin. It currently trails Tether and TrueUSD.

Before 2035 there will be over one trillion US$ worth of stable coins in circulation. There are currently ~2.5 billion US$ worth.

Before 2030 there will be a stable coin that is not tethered to one specific currency, but to a basket of assets. It may predominantly be backed by USD, but also may include EUR, gold, and other assets to avoid reliance on any one currency.

Before 2030 there will be cryptocurrency coins that track specific stock market indexes e.g. S&P 500.

 

Tim Berners-Lee’s Solid and Inrupt projects will not reach meaningful adoption before 2030.

– Ownership of data is not enough of a concern for the general public.
– No obvious incentive for companies to comply with these new standards.
– Top down approach is not viable for such a huge undertaking.

Before 2025 Google will offer a free Google One subscription with the purchase of a Google hardware device (e.g. Pixel phone).

Before 2070 extraterrestrial life will be discovered.

Google will release a Wear OS watch before 2022.

Double or nothing. I originally predicted this would happen in 2018. I’m still confident it will happen, just not as soon as I originally thought.

Google’s Wear OS watch will have a custom Google built SoC.

By 2030 Sonos will either have gotten acquired for less than $1.5B or will have filed for bankruptcy.