Prediction - no gradient (Page 2)

Prediction

A collection of 82 posts

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Before 2022 USDC will be in greater circulation than any other stable coin. It currently trails Tether and TrueUSD. – Twitter Before 2035 there will be over one trillion US$ worth of stable coins in circulation. There are currently ~2.5 billion US$ worth. – Twitter

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Before 2030 there will be cryptocurrency coins that track specific stock market indexes e.g. S&P 500. – Twitter

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Before 2030 there will be a stable coin that is not tethered to one specific currency, but to a basket of assets. It may predominantly be backed by USD, but also may include EUR, gold, and other assets to avoid reliance on any one currency. – Twitter Resolved • True. Saga launched

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Tim Berners-Lee’s Solid and Inrupt projects will not reach meaningful adoption before 2030. – Twitter Why? • Ownership of data is not enough of a concern for the general public. • No obvious incentive for companies to comply with these new standards. • Top down approach is not viable for such a huge

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Before 2025 Google will offer a free Google One subscription with the purchase of a Google hardware device (e.g. Pixel phone). – Twitter Updates • Free Google One is offered with a Project Fi unlimited plan.

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Before 2070 extraterrestrial life will be discovered. – Twitter

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Google will release a Wear OS watch before 2022. – Twitter Updates • Double or nothing. I originally predicted Google would release a Wear OS watch in 2018. I’m still confident it will happen, just not as soon as I originally thought. Google’s Wear OS watch will have a custom

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By 2030 Sonos will either have gotten acquired for less than $1.5B or will have filed for bankruptcy. – Twitter Updates • Sonos sues Google.

Donald Trump will be Reelected

Donald Trump will be reelected, winning the 59th U.S. presidential election in 2020. – Twitter Why? • Incumbents have an advantage, especially with a good economy coupled with instability abroad- Middle East, Korean Peninsula, and Russian military shenanigans. • People are tired of the Special Council investigation lead by Mueller. It will

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From June 8 2018 to June 8 2028, Vanguard’s S&P 500 Fund (VFIAX) will outperform a portfolio split evenly between: Firsthand Technology Opportunities Fund (TEFQX), Oppenheimer Global Opportunities (OGIYX), Fidelity Select Biotech (FBIOX), and Delaware Healthcare (DLHIX). – Twitter Updates • This prediction was made in response to this

Robo-Advisors Eat the Old Guard’s Lunch

Investing is becoming ever more commoditized with the rise of index funds and passive strategies, forcing financial institutions to differentiate themselves on user experience. The Old Guard institutions like Black Rock and Vanguard were built in an age when user experience was not a priority. The New Guard institutions, often

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By 2040 bag and body scanners at airports will use machine learning to detect banned items, requiring intervention from security personnel only on an ad hoc basis. – Twitter

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The following are my predictions for the one year adoption rate of future Android versions (+/- 2.5%): Android Oreo, 9% Android P, 15% Android 10, 19% Android 11, 22% Android 12, 24% Android 13, 25% Android 14, 25% – Twitter Resolved (each Android version is considered a separate prediction) • False.

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By 2050 terrorists will facilitate an attack using technology from a large cloud services company e.g. Amazon, Cloudflare, Google, IBM, Microsoft. – Twitter This attack will cause at least one top five GDP country to pass overbearing preventative legislation. – Twitter

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By 2030 there will be a financial services company offering a fully managed investment solution (e.g. saving for retirement, portfolio diversification) that charges no fees. – Twitter Resolved • Invalid. M1 Finance technically already did this at the time this prediction was published. The prediction should have been more specific as

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By 2030, a major financial services company like Vanguard or Charles Schwab will offer ETFs with an expense ratio of 0.00%. – Twitter Updates • Mutual funds should have been included in this prediction as Fidelity announced on August 1 2018 zero fees on their Total Market and International mutual index

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By 2030 there will be a dominant social network built around user location. Facebook, Snapchat, and Twitter use location, but have it bolted on the side. And dating apps are too use case specific. Location is too powerful to not take center stage in a social network. – Twitter

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By 2070 domain names will be relegated to collectible items- bought, sold, and traded like pieces of art. – Twitter

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By 2022, Amazon will release a router with voice activated Alexa built in. – Twitter

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By 2022, Google will release a router with voice activated Google Assistant built in. – Twitter Resolved • True. Google’s Nest Wifi product has Google Assistant built in.

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By 2050 nations around the world, including the United States, will implement systems similar to China’s Great Firewall to increase national security, as our lives and warfare increasingly become digital. – Twitter

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By 2023 Amazon through Amazon Basics will release a TV. – Twitter

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By 2022 Amazon through Amazon Basics will release a computer monitor. – Twitter

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By 2021 Amazon through Amazon Basics will release a mobile phone. – Twitter

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By 2025 Coinbase will release public APIs for businesses to accept cryptocurrencies as payment online. – Twitter Resolved • True. Coinbase Commerce was announced 2 April 2018.